Saturday, January 19, 2008

Seems Nevada is going the way expected.

Nevada is being called for Clinton and Romney.

SC's polls are open for a few more hours. Will the McCain Numbers hold, or will momentum give Huckabee another win?

TPM:
John Zogby has his final numbers out for South Carolina. And things are looking really good for Mike Huckabee. As I noted last night, John McCain has been leading all the polls since New Hampshire. But the final few days have shown a swing back toward Huckabee. And this final survey shows the same trend. Zogby's poll yesterday had McCain at 29% and Huckabee at 22%. Today's has it McCain 27% and Huckabee 26%.

Needless to say that still has McCain slightly ahead. And these movements are within the margin of error. However, this same trend has shown up in several separate surveys. And the two final ones both show Huck either pulling even or moving ahead.

The pattern in each of these races has been for the candidate with the momentum at the end to overshoot his or her numbers. So, as I said, this could be a good night for Huckabee. And if Huckabee wins it'll leave the Republican race in even more of a mess than it already is

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