SUPER TUESDAY

As the night wears on Crooks and Liars has a page up listing results.

And I thought MO was called for Clinton? At 97% it is so close and edging over slightly to Obama.

Trouble for independent voters in California.

Huckabee seems to be taking the South by storm. I wonder if people in the McCain camp are second guessing the handing of West Virginia to Huck to screw over Romney? Not that they want to admit to that. DOH!

From early on it seems the core of McCain's support is the NE for the most part, where he is unlikely to win against Dems. And Huck is taking the South. And Romney is taking a number of states heading West.

Chris Matthews is actually making a pretty solid point. And one that's going to be difficult one for McCain to deal with. That is, the states McCain is winning are ones Republican seldom win in general elections. So far our tally has Delaware, Connecticut, Illinois, New Jersey and New York. Basically he's taking the Democratic base.

McCain has a lackluster night.

We went into this evening thinking that the big story would be on the Democratic side of the ledger. And the early signs are looking strong for Barack Obama. But it's looking like there's a big story on the Republican side too. Not that John McCain isn't going to have a big night. But considering that few people give any shot to the remaining candidates Romney and Huckabee, the exit polls suggest an underwhelming showing by McCain. McCain's folks were dying to have Huckabee stay in and do well. But I suspect at the end of the evening he'll have done a good deal better than the McCain wanted. And Mitt's not getting shut out either. Keep watching this.

And as TPM is noting, the Dem race looks to be heading to an end of this deadheat with a nose to nose finale.

In the background here at TPM HQ we've been running the numbers to try to get a sense of what this is going to look like in terms of delegate counts on the Democratic side.

To be clear, there's a lot of estimating involved here and piecing together little fragments of information. But all that said, our very much in-progress spreadsheet, which assumes a decent margin for Clinton in California, has the two candidates almost exactly tied in delegates.

Doubt it will turn out exactly that way. But I think that's going to be the big story. For all the spin and nominal wins. It's a dead-heat where it really counts, in delegates.

From the looks the Undecided are splitting between Clinton and Obama.

There's no doubt Democrats are torn between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. But the early exit polls show they are not bitterly divided: 72 percent of Democrats said they would be satisfied if Clinton won the party's nomination, while 71 percent say the same about Obama.