Thursday, January 10, 2008

Looking at the NH results and trying to explain it all away.


With an unexpected Clinton win, those that are not happy to see her campaign above the waterline, are trying to explain it all away.

Limbaugh decries a cheat, that fake voters were bused in...just no evidence or support for this.

Others have begun claiming voting fraud, that machines were rigged. Just, again no evidence or support, as opposed to the last presidential election. But a lot of claims are being tossed, between nasty remarks about Clinton. Josh Marshall goes into these, as yet, unfounded claims.

The nastiest of claims is that Clinton got the racist and bigot vote. The claim of the Bradley Effect. Sure, the shift is among women, just after a multi day slew of misogyny on all the networks. But as an "Obama supporter" on MSNBC declared, that the switch may have been partly about the "Tweety Effect", but one has to see the racism is also involved. If people don't give Obama their vote, apparently his skin color is a part of the reason. This is as irritating as the Steinem piece on women not supporting Clinton.
What worries me is that some women, perhaps especially younger ones, hope to deny or escape the sexual caste system; thus Iowa women over 50 and 60, who disproportionately supported Senator Clinton, proved once again that women are the one group that grows more radical with age.
One can be a feminist and not support Clinton. And one can not support or decide not to vote for Obama and not do it for racial reasons. It is cheap theater to claim otherwise.


Crooks and Liars has the video of Countdown's discussion of it. The conversation cut through to loo passed the attempts to just dismiss the results.
Keith Olbermann talked with Craig Crawford today on Countdown about the polling nightmare surrounding yesterday’s New Hampshire Democratic primary. Crawford proposes that it wasn’t the polls or the polling itself, it was the reporting and interpretation of them that led to the fiasco. The pundits got lazy and chose not to fully dig through the nuts and bolts of the numbers which resulted in highly skewed predictions.

In terms of the actual polling data, many of the polls hit the vote percentage for Obama very close to his actual tally. The one issue that was overlooked was the undecided vote — the majority of which, went for Clinton. Add to that, Chris Matthews’ three ring circus, FOXNews attacks and outright lies surrounding the New Hampshire primary and it made for the perfect storm…

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